Tasmania JackJumpers vs Adelaide 36ers NBL Round 16 Game Preview

Jan 9

3 min read

Tip-off: 7:30PM AEDT, January 10 | MyState Bank Arena

Tasmania JackJumpers vs Adelaide 36ers Expert Analysis

The Tasmania JackJumpers return to MyState Bank Arena in Round 16, hosting the Adelaide 36ers in a crucial clash as both teams vie to solidify their NBL25 campaigns. While Tasmania looks to rebound from a two-game skid, Adelaide enters with renewed confidence, having won two consecutive games.

Despite recent losses, Tasmania’s defence has been elite, ranking first in opposition points per game (84.4) and three-point percentage allowed (30.6%). Their ability to shut down Adelaide’s perimeter shooters will be pivotal.

Adelaide, on the other hand, boasts momentum after back-to-back wins against Melbourne and Sydney. Montrezl Harrell and Kendric Davis have stepped up, delivering dominant performances, but the 36ers still struggle defensively, allowing a league-worst 96.8 points per game.

For Tasmania, this matchup presents a chance to exploit Adelaide’s defensive vulnerabilities, especially from beyond the arc. Adelaide will rely on their stars to continue carrying the load, but Tasmania’s disciplined defence could prove decisive.

Key Matchups

Jordan Crawford vs. Adelaide’s Defence

Crawford has been electric off the bench, averaging 18 points over his last six games. Against Adelaide’s porous defence, particularly their league-worst 39.3% opposition three-point shooting, Crawford is poised for another standout performance.

Tasmania’s Defence vs. Adelaide’s Stars

Stopping Montrezl Harrell (28 points in his last outing) and Kendric Davis (28 points, 11 assists) is no small task, but Tasmania’s top-ranked defence will aim to disrupt their rhythm and limit easy buckets in the paint.

Perimeter Shooting Battle

Adelaide’s shooters must contend with Tasmania’s smothering perimeter defence. Meanwhile, the JackJumpers’ ability to capitalize on Adelaide’s poor three-point defence could be the game’s defining factor.

Key Stats

Tasmania’s Defence: Ranked 1st in opposition points per game (84.4) and three-point percentage allowed (30.6%).
Adelaide’s Defence: Ranked last, conceding 96.8 points per game and 39.3% from three-point range.
Jordan Crawford’s Form: Averaging 18 points across his last six games.
Adelaide’s Scoring: Harrell and Davis combined for 56 points in their most recent win.

Tasmania JackJumpers Form & Team News

The JackJumpers are looking to get back on track after two tough losses, including a valiant effort against the Illawarra Hawks. Despite the defeat, Tasmania’s defence held the Hawks’ high-powered offence (101.6 PPG) to just 89 points. Majok Deng (16 points) and Fabian Krslovic (11 points) provided solid contributions, while their interior defence showed improvement.

However, the JackJumpers need Milton Doyle to find his shooting touch after a shocking 0-9 outing in their last game. The team’s offensive success hinges on contributions from Doyle and Crawford, especially against Adelaide’s weak defence.

The late news of Sean MacDonald being ruled out for the season is devestating for the JackJumpers. Since MacDonald joined the team after missing the first few rounds of the season, Tasmania went on an 8-0 winning run and will feel the absence of their star guard.

Adelaide 36ers Form & Team News

Adelaide has found form at the right time, riding a two-game win streak into this contest. Montrezl Harrell and Kendric Davis have led the charge, combining for a monstrous 56 points in their victory over Melbourne United. The 36ers are now clinging to slim playoff hopes, making every game a must-win.

Adelaide’s defence remains a concern, ranking last in the league in points allowed and three-point percentage allowed. Their ability to tighten up defensively will be critical against Tasmania’s sharpshooters.

Why Tasmania Will Win

Tasmania’s elite defence and ability to exploit Adelaide’s three-point vulnerabilities give them a clear edge. If Crawford continues his hot streak and Doyle bounces back, the JackJumpers have the firepower to cover the line comfortably.

Why Adelaide Will Win

Momentum and star power are on Adelaide’s side. If Harrell and Davis can replicate their recent dominance and the 36ers tighten up defensively, they could pull off an upset.

Conclusion

Tasmania’s disciplined defence and ability to capitalize on Adelaide’s weak perimeter defence make them favourites in this matchup. Expect the JackJumpers to snap their losing streak at home, with Jordan Crawford playing a key role in their offensive resurgence.