Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers NBL Round 14 Game Preview

Tip-Off: 7:30 PM AEDT, December 30 | Qudos Bank Arena

Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers Expert Analysis

The Sydney Kings and Adelaide 36ers meet in a pivotal NBL25 matchup with plenty at stake for both sides.

The Kings, fresh off a narrow loss to Illawarra, are eager to rediscover their offensive rhythm and assert themselves in the playoff race. Meanwhile, the 36ers are struggling after a disappointing 116-92 defeat to Perth, which highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities. With Sydney aiming to capitalise on Adelaide's woes and Adelaide looking to keep their faint postseason hopes alive, this clash promises intrigue and high stakes.

Key Matchups

Jaylen Adams vs. Adelaide’s Defence As one of Sydney’s premier offensive weapons, Adams will likely target Adelaide’s porous perimeter defence. His ability to create and knock down shots, particularly from deep, could stretch Adelaide’s defence and open up opportunities for his teammates.

Kouat Noi vs. Adelaide’s Perimeter Defence Noi is in stellar form, averaging three three-pointers per game over his last four outings. Facing an Adelaide defence that allows opponents to shoot a league-high 40.2% from beyond the arc, Noi could play a pivotal role in breaking the game open for Sydney.

Alex Toohey vs. Adelaide’s Frontcour tToohey has stepped into a key role for the Kings, delivering consecutive 20+ point games. His ability to score both inside and out adds another layer to Sydney’s attack. For Adelaide to stay competitive, they’ll need to find a way to limit his impact, particularly in transition and on second-chance opportunities.

Key Stats

• Adelaide's Defence: The 36ers have allowed an average of 107.33 points per game over their past six matches.

• Road Struggles: Adelaide is just 1-6 away from home this season.

• Sydney's Offence: The Kings are on the verge of scoring 100+ points in back-to-back games for the first time this season.

• Perimeter Problems: Adelaide ranks last in the NBL for opposition three-point percentage, conceding a troubling 40.2%.

• Kouat Noi’s Form: Noi has averaged three made three-pointers across his past four games, a significant threat given Adelaide’s defensive struggles.

  
  

Why the Sydney Kings Will Win

Sydney has the firepower and form to exploit Adelaide’s weaknesses, particularly on the defensive end. The Kings’ ability to stretch the floor with shooters like Jaylen Adams and Kouat Noi should expose Adelaide’s vulnerable perimeter defence. With Alex Toohey providing a scoring punch in recent games and Sydney’s impressive ability to finish strong (winning the fourth quarter in eight of their last nine games), the Kings appear poised to dominate. Additionally, playing at home gives them an extra edge against a 36ers side that has struggled mightily on the road.

Why the Adelaide 36ers Will Win

While the odds are stacked against them, Adelaide can lean on their earlier victory against Sydney this season as motivation. To win, the 36ers need to prioritise defence, particularly around the arc, and disrupt Sydney’s rhythm. If Adelaide can force turnovers and find offensive consistency, they could take advantage of any lapses in Sydney’s defence. They’ll also need a standout performance from their core players to energise their attack and counter Sydney’s firepower.

Conclusion

This game appears to be Sydney’s to lose. Adelaide’s defensive lapses, especially from long range, provide the Kings with a prime opportunity to reignite their offence. Expect Sydney to control the tempo, exploit Adelaide’s weaknesses, and secure a comfortable win at home. For the 36ers, it’s a chance to prove they can rise to the occasion against tough opposition, but they’ll need a near-perfect performance to keep pace with the Kings.