Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks NBL Finals Game 4 Preview

Mar 18

2 min read

Tip-off is at 7:30 PM AEDT at John Cain Arena

Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Expert Analysis

Matthew Dellavedova is on the brink of his first NBL Championship as Melbourne United aim to secure the title at John Cain Arena on Wednesday night.

United have struggled in Championship Series games at home, losing their last six at John Cain Arena, but Dellavedova’s leadership could be the key to breaking that streak. The NBA champion and Olympic medallist showed his composure in Game 3, leading United to a crucial 83-77 win with a dominant fourth-quarter performance.

Expect the Hawks to come out strong early in Game 4, but Melbourne’s depth and experience should see them stay composed. With the scoring pace likely pushing past 200 points, United’s X-factor could be Gary Clark, stepping up when Melbourne get their noses in front.

Key Matchups

Matthew Dellavedova vs. Tyler Harvey

Dellavedova was instrumental in United’s Game 3 comeback, delivering 16 points and 11 assists. His defensive effort also played a huge role in shutting down Illawarra’s backcourt. Harvey, who has struggled throughout the series, needs to find his rhythm if the Hawks are to force a Game 5.

Jack White vs. Sam Froling

After being held scoreless in Game 2, Jack White responded with a 20-point performance in Game 3. His energy and ability to crash the boards will be vital against Froling, who must impose himself more in the paint.

Key Stats

Melbourne have lost consecutive home games only twice this season in a three-game home stretch.
Nine of the last ten Melbourne games at John Cain Arena have gone over the 187.5 game total.
Four of the last five meetings between these teams have gone over 187.5 points.
Ian Clark has averaged 22.16 points in the NBL25 Playoffs.

Why Melbourne United Wins

United’s experience shone through in Game 3, with their veteran leadership steering them through crunch time. Dellavedova’s poise, Jack White’s resurgence, and their ability to shut down Illawarra’s key scorers all point to another Melbourne victory. If they can control the tempo and execute down the stretch, they’ll be celebrating a championship on Wednesday night.

Why Illawarra Wins

The Hawks need to rediscover their offensive firepower and avoid another fourth-quarter collapse. If Trey Kell III can suit up, his presence will be vital, but even without him, Tyler Harvey must step up. Illawarra led for much of Game 3, but poor shot selection and panicked possessions cost them late. Cleaning up those mistakes will give them a shot at forcing a decider.

Conclusion

Melbourne United are in the box seat to claim the NBL25 Championship, with their experience and depth proving crucial in the latter stages of this series. Illawarra’s fast start in Game 3 showed they can challenge, but unless they fix their fourth-quarter woes, Melbourne’s composure and defensive tenacity should see them over the line. Expect another high-scoring battle, but United have all the momentum heading into Game 4.