Illawarra Hawks vs South East Melbourne Phoenix NBL Round 15 Game Preview

Tip-off is at 5:30pm on New Years Eve 31st December at WIN Entertainment Centre

Illawarra Hawks vs South East Melboure Phoenix Expert Analysis

Overview

The Illawarra Hawks host the South East Melbourne Phoenix on New Year’s Eve in a clash between two in-form sides.

The Hawks sit comfortably atop the NBL standings with seven wins from their last eight games, including a commanding 102-84 road victory against Brisbane. Meanwhile, the Phoenix are coming off a much-needed 10-day break, having won four of their last five games. Both teams have a point to prove, with the season series tied at 1-1.

Key Matchups

Tyler Harvey and Trey Kell III vs. Phoenix Defence

Illawarra’s backcourt duo has been pivotal all season, combining for 35 points in their win over Brisbane. Kell is in red-hot form, averaging 22.6 points over his last five games. However, the Phoenix’s third-ranked defence, allowing just 88.2 points per game, will aim to slow them down.

Josh King’s Defensive Scheme vs. Illawarra’s Bench

Illawarra leads the league in several offensive metrics, including points per game (101.2) and field goal percentage (49.2%). Their bench has also been impactful, contributing 33.3 points per game. Phoenix coach Josh King will need to find a way to disrupt the Hawks’ rhythm and limit the second unit’s influence.

Phoenix Rebounding vs. Illawarra’s Dominance on the Glass

The Hawks average 43.2 rebounds per game, the highest in the league, while the Phoenix rank seventh with 40.3. Winning the rebounding battle will be crucial for South East Melbourne to generate second-chance opportunities and limit Illawarra’s possessions.

Key Stats

• Illawarra’s Offence: League-leading 101.2 points per game and 49.2% FG%.

• Phoenix’s Defence: Ranks third in points allowed (88.2 per game).

• Phoenix’s Form: Have covered the line in both games as underdogs of 8.5+ points this season.

• Trey Kell III: Averaging 22.6 points in his last five games, with three exceeding 25 points.

Why Illawarra Will Win

The Hawks are flying high, boasting the league’s best offence, rebounding, and turnover efficiency. With home-court advantage and key players like Harvey and Kell in form, they have the firepower to outpace South East Melbourne. Their depth, highlighted by strong bench contributions, gives them an additional edge in what will likely be a high-scoring affair.

Why South East Melbourne Will Win

The Phoenix’s 10-day rest could be a decisive factor, allowing them to be fresher than an Illawarra side playing their fourth game in nine days. Their stout defence and recent victory over the Hawks will provide confidence. Trey Kell’s scoring form and their ability to keep games close as underdogs position them well to compete.

Conclusion

This matchup promises to be a New Year’s Eve thriller, with Illawarra’s high-powered offence clashing against South East Melbourne’s disciplined defence. While the Hawks are the favourites, the Phoenix’s rest advantage and defensive capabilities should make this a tight contest. Expect Illawarra to edge out a victory, but South East Melbourne to keep it close.