Illawarra Hawks vs Perth Wildcats NBL Round 13 Game Preview

Tip-off is at 2:30pm on Sunday 22nd December at WIN Entertainment Centre

Illawarra Hawks vs Perth Wildcats Expert Analysis

The Illawarra Hawks vs Perth Wildcats matchup is expected to be a high-scoring clash on Sunday, with Illawarra aiming to consolidate their spot atop the standings. Both teams are riding impressive offensive streaks, but contrasting defensive records could prove pivotal.

Illawarra holds the edge at home, boasting the league's most efficient offence and a solid defensive foundation. Perth’s resurgence has been fuelled by Bryce Cotton’s historic scoring spree, but their defensive struggles may hinder their chances against a Hawks side firing on all cylinders.

Key Matchups

Sam Froling vs. Perth’s Interior Defence

Froling has been a dominant force in the paint, averaging 12.4 points in that area per game. Against Perth’s porous interior defence, which allows 44.1 points in the paint per game (2nd most in the league), Froling is poised for another standout performance.

Bryce Cotton vs. Illawarra’s Defensive Plan

Cotton’s scoring tear has been unprecedented, but Illawarra’s athletic and versatile defenders may succeed in limiting his impact. With more time to prepare, expect coach Justin Tatum to deploy traps and rotations to keep the Wildcats’ star from another explosive outing.

Team Form and Momentum

• Illawarra Hawks: Winners of 4 of their last 5 games, including a commanding 121-111 victory over Perth earlier this month. They lead the league in scoring, FG%, and rebounding while maintaining a strong defensive presence.

• Perth Wildcats: Averaging 118.8 points per game over their last 5, Perth has rediscovered their offensive groove. However, defensive lapses (103.8 points allowed per game in the same span) remain a concern.

Key Stats

• Scoring Leaders: Illawarra (99.2 PPG, 1st) vs. Perth (97.3 PPG, 2nd).

• Defensive Rankings: Illawarra allows 90.3 points per game (4th), while Perth concedes 96 (9th).

• Rebounds: Illawarra leads the league with 43 RPG, while Perth ranks 3rd with 41.7 RPG.

Why Illawarra Wins

The Hawks’ balanced attack and ability to score from all areas make them a tough matchup for Perth’s shaky defence. Sam Froling’s dominance inside, combined with Illawarra’s perimeter threats, should exploit Perth’s weaknesses. Add to this their defensive ability to limit Cotton, and the Hawks have the tools to secure another high-scoring win.

Why Perth Wins

If Bryce Cotton can maintain his historic scoring streak and the Wildcats can tighten their defence, they have the firepower to outlast Illawarra. The challenge lies in sustaining that effort against the league’s most efficient offence.

Prediction

While both teams are in impressive scoring form, Illawarra’s depth, efficiency, and defensive edge give them the advantage. Expect a high-scoring affair with the Hawks pulling away late to secure another home win. Expected scoreline Illawarra 107-96 Perth.